Skeptical Science New Research for Week #8 2025

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #8 2025

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Posted on 20 February 2025 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Open access notables

Long-lasting intense cut-off lows to become more frequent in the Northern Hemisphere, Mishra et al., Communications Earth & Environment:

Cut-off Lows are slow-moving mid-latitude storms that are detached from the main westerly flow and are often harbingers of heavy and persistent rainfall. The assessment of Cut-off Lows in climate models is relatively limited, in fact, there are no studies conducted on the future changes of Cut-off Lows within climate models. Given the importance of Cut-off Lows in leading to severe hazards, here we study them in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6’s worst-case future simulations (SSP5-8.5). Most (80%) of the models show that Cut-off Lows with high intensity and longer lifetimes are projected to become more frequent in spring over the land regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Such an increase in Cut-off Low frequency could substantially increase related potential hazards. An increase in Cut-off Low propagation velocity, however, may partly offset this increase in hazard. Lastly, projected changes in the jet stream with possible dynamical linkages to Cut-off Lows corroborate the findings of this study.

Mismatch Between Global Importance of Peatlands and the Extent of Their Protection, Austin et al., Conservation Letters:

Global peatlands store more carbon than all the world's forests biomass on just 3% of the planet's land surface. Failure to address mounting threats to peatland ecosystems will jeopardize critical climate targets and exacerbate biodiversity loss. Our analysis reveals that 17% of peatlands are protected globally—substantially less than many other high-value ecosystems. Just 11% percent of boreal and 27% of temperate and tropical peatlands are protected, while Indigenous peoples' lands encompass at least another one-quarter of peatlands globally. Peatlands in protected areas and Indigenous peoples' lands generally face lower human pressure than outside those areas. Yet, almost half of temperate and tropical peatlands in protected areas still experience medium to high human pressure. Country submissions of Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement and National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plans under the Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework could help catalyze actions and secure funding for peatland conservation, including support for the Indigenous stewardship that is critical to protect many of the world's highest priority peatland areas.

Can residential energy systems withstand the heat? Quantifying solar photovoltaic and heat pump yields for future New Zealand climate conditions, Zegeer et al., Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability:

Our findings revealed that a future climate doubles the cooling demand and reduces the heating demand by one-third, with the heat pump demand peak load projected to be 40% higher than current demand. Although solar PV generation experiences a decrease in efficiency of 8%, there is a 40% increase in annual direct usage of ASHP [air source heat pumps]. Despite the high cooling demand, the combined yearly electricity demand for heating and cooling decreased by 6.5% overall, and the system saw a 50% improvement in demand fulfilment. However, the system performance volatility at hotter-than-normal temperatures and the potential for significant energy shortfalls remain concerns. The shift from a predominantly heating to a cooling environment is a critical design condition that should be considered in energy expansion planning and future electrification. The framework and time series developed in this work can be expanded and applied to other energy system modelling exercises.

Global Land-Water Competition and Synergy Between Solar Energy and Agriculture, Curioni et al., Earth's Future:

The food and energy systems face mounting challenges due to increasing demands and sustainability constraints, which impact their ability to efficiently utilize natural resources, such as land and freshwater. Among these challenges, competition for land between large-scale renewable energy production plants and agriculture poses a risk, especially for photovoltaics. Agrivoltaics offers an opportunity to synergistically use land for simultaneous production of energy and food. Recent studies have investigated the upscaling potential of agrivoltaics, moving from field scale analyses to larger-scale suitability assessments. Yet, studies addressing the interaction between crop dynamics and local climatic factors, as well as explicitly investigating hydrological dynamics of agrivoltaics across crops and climates, are still limited. Here, we first superpose a spatial data set of existing photovoltaic farms with different land use/land cover maps to assess the magnitude of land use competition associated with photovoltaics. Then, we use a spatialized agro-hydrological model to simulate the response to different levels of radiation attenuation of 22 non-irrigated crops in their harvested areas across the globe. We find that 22%–35% of rainfed harvested areas globally would maintain their yields if converted to agrivoltaics, while 13%–16% of ground-mounted photovoltaic plants globally are associated with a cropland to non-cropland transition. While carrying the typical limitations and uncertainties of global studies, our results may offer novel possibilities for cross-crop and cross-location comparisons of agrivoltaic experiences, as well as a basis to have a deeper and cross-scale understanding of the feasibility of photovoltaics.

Soaring Building Collapses in Southern Mediterranean Coasts: Hydroclimatic Drivers & Adaptive Landscape Mitigations, Fouad et al., Earth's Future:

The low-lying, arid coastal regions of the Southern Mediterranean Basin, extending over 4,600 km, face daunting sea level rise and hydroclimatic changes due to shifting weather patterns. The impact of these factors on coastal urban buildings and infrastructure must be better understood. Alexandria, a historic and densely populated port city in Egypt representative of several coastal towns in the Southern Mediterranean, has experienced over 280 building collapses along its shorelines over the past two decades, and the root causes are still under investigation. We examine the decadal changes in coastal and hydroclimatic drivers along the city's coastline using photogrammetric satellite images from 1974 to 2021. We explore the interconnectivity between shoreline retreat, ground subsidence, and building collapses. Our results suggest that collapses are correlated with severe coastal erosion driven by sediment imbalances resulting from decades of inefficient landscape management and urban expansion along the city's waterfront. This severe erosion, combined with sea level rise, increases seawater intrusion, raising groundwater levels in coastal aquifers. Degrading ground stability and accelerating corrosion in building foundations ultimately culminating in collapses. We identified a coastal area of high vulnerability with over 7,000 buildings at risk, surpassing any other vulnerable zone in the Mediterranean Basin. We propose cost-effective and nature-based techniques for coastal landscape adaptation to alleviate these dangers in Alexandria and other Southern Mediterranean cities facing similar climatic challenges.

Estimating the carbon footprint of post-war reconstruction: toward a ‘greener’ recovery of Ukraine, Kobayakawa, Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability:

The substantial investment required for Ukraine's post-war reconstruction will likely result in significant carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. This study quantitatively estimates the carbon footprint (CF) of the reconstruction process using an environmentally extended multi-region input–output analysis. Results indicate that the projected total CF over a ten-year reconstruction period will amount to 741 Mt-CO2 exceeding Ukraine's pre-war annual territorial emissions by more than fourfold. With the construction industry accounting for 77% of total emissions, there is an urgent need to modernize the sector and enhance its efficiency to achieve significant emission reductions. Key mitigation strategies include modernizing construction processes and implementing large-scale recycling of construction materials like concrete and steel. Beyond reducing emissions, these measures have the potential to foster industrial innovation, generate employment, and align Ukraine's development trajectory with European Union environmental standards. This research highlights the necessity of integrating sustainability into Ukraine's recovery pathway to ensure a greener, more sustainable future for Ukraine.

From this week's government/NGO section:

Climate Change in the American Mind: Beliefs & Attitudes, Fall 2024Leiserowitz et al., Yale University and George Mason University

Americans who think global warming is happening outnumber those who think it is not by a ratio of more than 5 to 1 (73% versus 14%). Two-thirds of Americans (66%) think global warming is affecting weather in the United States. 11% of Americans have considered moving to avoid the impacts of global warming.

Flying in 2024 and beyond. Research findings from Wave 13 of the CAA’s UK Aviation Consumer SurveyUK. Civil Aviation Authority

Consumers are flying in the highest numbers since this survey began in 2016, with 62% having flown in the last 12 months. This year’s results reinforce the shift in the demographic profile of recent flyers observed last year, with recent flyers skewing much younger than pre-pandemic. The authors asked consumers to prioritize several different areas, to understand the perceived relative importance of areas that the aviation industry might focus on. The exercise revealed reducing the cost of flying to be the most widespread priority amongst consumers, though this is far from universal – only around a quarter (27%) of consumers would prioritize this above all other areas. However, consumers do not feel the industry’s priorities align with their own, particularly in reducing the cost and environmental impact of flying – two areas where relatively few consumers believe the industry is genuinely committed. Attitudes towards the environment are similar to those seen last year, with widespread concern about the environment, but relatively few consumers are willing to fly less or pay more to offset the environmental impact of flying. As seen last year, consumers tend to see paying for environmental measures as the airline’s responsibility rather than their own. Younger consumers care about the environmental impact of aviation, but results suggest that the affordability of flying may be of greater importance to them. 

127 articles in 51 journals by 797 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Atmospheric circulation to constrain subtropical precipitation projections, Chemke & Yuval Yuval Yuval, Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-025-02266-5

Distribution Characteristics and Source Analysis of Dissolved Organic Matter with Different Molecular Weights in the Coastal Waters of Zhejiang Province, Sun et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107020

Drivers of Regional Variation in the De-Emergence of Climate Change under Negative Emissions, Douglas et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-24-0257.1

Human contribution to atmosphere-ocean thermodynamic factors affecting the intense tropical cyclones over the Arabian Sea during the post-monsoon season, Pathaikara et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100755

Tracing the Observed Causal Impact of Diminishing Summer Sea-Ice Concentration on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Nichita et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl113293

Observations of climate change, effects

Climate Warming and Deglaciation Drive New Peat Formation in the Southern Alps, Aotearoa/New Zealand, Fewster et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl113786

Climatological patterns of heatwaves during winter and spring 2023 and trends for the period 1979–2023 in central South America, Marengo et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2025.1529082

Complex network analysis of extreme temperature events in the Contiguous United States, Bosikun et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107995

Increased Occurrence of Stratiform Clouds in the Caribbean Dry Season Since 1971 From Surface Observations, Eastman et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2024jd042563

Increasing trends of land and coastal heatwaves under global warming, Zhang et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108007

Observational Evidence of Increasing Intensity and Frequency of Deep Convective Clouds During the Indian Summer Monsoon Season, Antony et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl111394

Positive surface air temperature trends in a subarctic region: Analyzing the changes in dominant periodic components and energy budget, Salehnia et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107981

Vertical Expansion of Aragonite Undersaturated Waters in the Canada Basin of the Arctic Ocean From 2003 to 2019, Yamamoto?Kawai et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 10.1029/2024jc021166

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

Unforced Millennial-Scale Oscillations in a Coupled Climate–Carbon System, Zhu & Rose, Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0762.1

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Mean and Extreme Climate over the Tibetan Plateau under 2 SSP scenarios, Zhou et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100747

Evaluation of the Atmospheric Circulation of CMIP6 Models for Extreme Temperature Events Using Latent Dirichlet Allocation, Malhomme et al., Journal of Climate Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0719.1

Future Patterns of Compound Dry and Hot Summers and Their Link to Soil Moisture Droughts in Europe, Böhnisch et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004916

How compound wind and precipitation extremes change over Southeast Asia: A comprehensive assessment from CMIP6 models, Jiang et al., Atmospheric Science Letters Open Access 10.1002/asl.1293

Impacts of Antarctic Ice Mass Loss on New Zealand Climate, Pauling et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl111047

Impacts of Land–Atmosphere Coupling on Summer Extreme Hot-Humid Compound Events over Southern Eurasia under Different Sea Surface Temperature Backgrounds, Qi et al., Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 10.1007/s00376-024-4073-2

Intensified Atlantic multidecadal variability in a warming climate, Li et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-025-02252-x

Long-lasting intense cut-off lows to become more frequent in the Northern Hemisphere, Mishra et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02078-7

Projected changes in daily temperature extremes for selected locations over South Africa, McBride et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100753

Wildfire risk in a changing climate: Evaluating fire weather indices and their global patterns with CMIP6 multi-model projections, He et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100751

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

A new method for diagnosing effective radiative forcing from aerosol–cloud interactions in climate models, Duran et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3063

An improved and extended parameterization of the CO2 15 µm cooling in the middle and upper atmosphere (CO2&cool&fort-1.0), López-Puertas et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4401-2024

Climate Models Struggle to Simulate Observed North Pacific Jet Trends, Even Accounting for Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Trends, Patterson & O’Reilly, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl113561

Complementing Dynamical Downscaling With Super-Resolution Convolutional Neural Networks, Rastogi et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl111828

Evaluating diurnal cloud cycle and its radiative effects from CMIP6, Han et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107985

Evaluation of CMIP6 models in simulating seasonal extreme precipitation over Ethiopia, Berhanu et al., Weather and Climate Extremes 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100752

The real challenges for climate and weather modelling on its way to sustained exascale performance: a case study using ICON (v2.6.6), Adamidis et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-18-905-2025

Toward more robust net primary production projections in the North Atlantic Ocean, Doléac et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-22-841-2025

Cryosphere & climate change

Climate warming and wetting poses a severe threat to permafrost engineering stability on the Qinghai?Xizang Plateau, Xu et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2025.02.001

Fragmentation of ground surface freezing processes in Northeast China from 1950 to 2022, Wang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2025.02.002

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

Meltwater Pulse 1A sea-level-rise patterns explained by global cascade of ice loss, Coonin et al., Nature Geoscience 10.1038/s41561-025-01648-w

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Adaptation and challenges for giant clam species under marine heatwaves, Geng et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104746

Adapting to a Shifting Planet: The future of Drosera Species amidst global challenges and conservation imperatives., Olivares-Pinto et al., Anthropocene 10.1016/j.ancene.2025.100466

An Integrated Global-To-Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems, Ortega?Cisneros et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004826

Changing Climate Response of Northeast Ohio White Oaks, USA: Is it Tree Age or Site Age?, Perkins, The Antiquaries Journal Open Access 10.1017/s0003581500038579

Diverse vegetation responses to solar farm installation are also driven by climate change, Wu et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02121-7

Does habitat or climate change drive species range shifts?, , Planned Solstice Open Access 10.2307/j.ctt20q1z1s.3

Drivers of marine heatwaves in coral bleaching regions of the Red Sea, Darmaraki et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02096-5

Barriers to Creating a Market for Hydrogen: Insights from Global Roadmaps and Stakeholders in the United States, Iacob et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.103947

Can residential energy systems withstand the heat? Quantifying solar photovoltaic and heat pump yields for future New Zealand climate conditions, Zegeer et al., Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access 10.1088/2634-4505/adaee3

Forest Productivity Decreases in Response to Recent Changes in Vegetation Structure and Climate in the Latitudinal Extremes of the European Continent, Tijerín?Triviño et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography 10.1111/geb.70011

Recent climate change strongly impacted the population dynamic of a North American insect pest species, Boulanger et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2024.08.08.607030

River Drying Causes Local Losses and Regional Gains in Aquatic Invertebrate Metacommunity Diversity: A Cross-Continental Comparison, Escobar?Camacho et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70068

Seagrass influence on mitigating ocean acidification and warming impacts on tropical calcifying macroalgae, Awaluddin et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.106976

The impacts of climate change on the global range of Culicoides punctatus (Meigen, 1804) with notes on its status in Saudi Arabia, Al-Malki, PeerJ Open Access 10.7717/peerj.18916

The Widely Increasing Sensitivity of Vegetation Productivity to Phenology in Northern Middle and High Latitudes, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl113892

Vapor pressure deficit dominates dryness stress on forest biomass carbon in China under global warming, Cen et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110440

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

A China dataset of soil properties for land surface modeling (version 2), Shi et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2024-299

Airborne in situ quantification of methane emissions from oil and gas production in Romania, Maazallahi et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-25-1497-2025

Annual carbon emissions from land-use change in China from 1000 to 2019, Yang et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2025-36

Anthropogenic Disturbances Superimpose Climate Effects on Soil Organic Carbon in Savanna Woodlands of Sub-Saharan Africa, Jorge et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles Open Access 10.1029/2023gb008086

Carbon Emissions Through the Weathering of Petrogenic Organic Carbon and the Net Geological Carbon Budget of the Tibetan Plateau, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl110718

Drought Impacts on Plant–Soil Carbon Allocation—Integrating Future Mean Climatic Conditions, Leyrer et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70070

Global Fjords as Minor Sources of Nitrous Oxide to the Atmosphere, Politi et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl111624

Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Lateral Carbon Dynamics at an Eroding Yedoma Permafrost Site in Siberia (Duvanny Yar), Keskitalo et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70071

High-resolution carbon cycling data from 2019 to 2021 measured at six Austrian long-term ecosystem research sites, Dirnböck et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-17-685-2025

High-resolution Carbon cycling data from 2019 to 2021 measured at six Austrian LTER sites, Dirnböck et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2024-110

Mismatch Between Global Importance of Peatlands and the Extent of Their Protection, Austin et al., Conservation Letters Open Access 10.1111/conl.13080

N2O Emission From a Subtropical Forest Is Dominantly Regulated by Soil Denitrifiers Under Exogenous N Enrichment and Seasonal Precipitation Distribution Change, Han et al., Open Access pdf 10.22541/essoar.171378919.91474769/v1

Ocean carbon sink assessment via temperature and salinity data assimilation into a global ocean biogeochemistry model, Bunsen et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1750

Partitioning anthropogenic and natural methane emissions in Finland during 2000–2021 by combining bottom-up and top-down estimates, Tenkanen et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-25-2181-2025

Robust filling of extra-long gaps in eddy covariance CO2 flux measurements from a temperate deciduous forest using eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Liu et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110438

Satellite-based modeling of wetland methane emissions on a global scale (SatWetCH4 1.0), Bernard et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1331

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Unexpected High Ammonia Emissions From Boreal Fires in 2021 and 2023, Chen et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl112396

Variability of greenhouse gases in Lagos: CO2, CH4, N2O and halocarbons in a developing Western Africa megacity, Odu-Onikosi et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102337

Vulnerability of Labile Organic Matter to Eutrophication and Warming in Temperate Mangrove Ecosystems, Thomson et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70087

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Direct air capture of CO2 for solar fuel production in flow, Kar et al., Nature Energy Open Access 10.1038/s41560-025-01714-y

Estimation of Carbon Dioxide Removal via Enhanced Weathering, Derry et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.70067

Macrophyte Restoration Promotes Lake Microbial Carbon Pump to Enhance Aquatic Carbon Sequestration, Chen et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.70086

Preserving carbon dioxide removal to serve critical needs, Shindell & Rogelj, Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-025-02251-y

Decarbonization

Barriers to Creating a Market for Hydrogen: Insights from Global Roadmaps and Stakeholders in the United States, Iacob et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.103947

Can residential energy systems withstand the heat? Quantifying solar photovoltaic and heat pump yields for future New Zealand climate conditions, Zegeer et al., Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access 10.1088/2634-4505/adaee3

Aerosols

Contribution of Ship Emissions to Aerosol Number Concentrations: Parameterization of Plume-Scale Nonlinear Microphysics and Application, Mao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2024jd042867

Climate change communications & cognition

Climate Change Cognition, Affect, and Behavior in Youth: A Scoping Review, Tapia?Echanove et al., WIREs Climate Change Open Access 10.1002/wcc.70000

Communicating about “The End of Fossil Fuel” in a museum setting: a mixed-methods investigation of the climate museum, Badullovich et al., 10.31219/osf.io/m3ecr

Leading by example: spillover effects of municipal climate protection leadership on citizens’ climate protection activities, Faure & Schleich, Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2024.2447492

Rising seas, rising concerns: how climate change vulnerability shapes opinions towards policy, Reny et al., Environmental Politics 10.1080/09644016.2025.2463860

Somewhere I belong: the field of new climate activists and the Czech environmental movement, Císa? & Navrátil, Environmental Politics Open Access 10.1080/09644016.2025.2463759

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Agricultural fertilization significantly enhances amplitude of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange, Lombardozzi et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-025-56730-z

Evaluating present-day and future impacts of agricultural ammonia emissions on atmospheric chemistry and climate, Beaudor et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-25-2017-2025

Global chocolate supply is limited by low pollination and high temperatures, Lander et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02072-z

Global Land-Water Competition and Synergy Between Solar Energy and Agriculture, Curioni et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005291

Modeling biochar effects on soil organic carbon on croplands in a microbial decomposition model (MIMICS-BC&v1.0), Han et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4871-2024

Seasonal effects of extreme climate events and sea surface temperature indicators on the vulnerability of marine pelagic fisheries in the Bay of Bengal region, Makwana & Patnaik, Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107009

Tomato yields and quality declines due to elevated soil CO2, Zhang & Ma, Scientific Reports Open Access 10.1038/s41598-025-89830-3

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change, Fereshtehpour et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005353

Climate change effects on submarine groundwater discharge and regional variations along the Korean Peninsula, Jung & Yoon, Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02084-9

Controls of Climate and Catchment Behaviour on Runoff Response Across Large-Scale Sample, Mingjuan et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8760

Global Warming Is Likely Affecting Regional Drought Across Eurasia, Marvel et al., AGU Advances Open Access 10.1029/2024av001289

Impact of 21st century climate change on Mississippi River Basin discharge in CESM2 large ensemble projections, Haider et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104742

Mid-Piacenzian and future changes in south Asian precipitation under global warming, Zhou & Liu, Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104760

Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century, Tan et al., Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.3389/fevo.2025.1513189

Climate change economics

Climate impact auctions: an underused tool for green subsidies in the Global South, Matthey et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2024.2411319

Optimizing afforestation pathways through economic cost mitigates China’s financial challenge of carbon neutrality, Zhang et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02103-9

Renewable export cost index as an indicator of global renewable energy trade potential, Kan et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02094-7

Climate change mitigation public policy research

A Place-based, Just Transition framework can guide industrial decarbonisation with a social licence, Lai et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.103967

Africa's Propensity for a Net Zero Energy Transition, Romadhon et al., Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2025.2465666

Analysing the barriers to renewable energy adoption in Ghana using Delphi and a fuzzy synthetic evaluation approach, James et al., Energy for Sustainable Development Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101667

Can new energy demonstration cities break through the multiple carbon lock-in? Evidence based on double machine learning, Hu & Xu, Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114522

Compensation strategies for renewable energy curtailment in South Korea, Noh et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114501

Energy efficiency improvement of a wood-manufacturing plant in Morocco through energy audit, Nait Abd et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101669

Energy optimization of a residential building for electricity, cooling, and heating: A path to Net Zero Energy, Mekila Mbayam & Bounahmidi, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101672

Land-based climate mitigation strategies for achieving net zero emissions in India, Jaiswal et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2025.1538816

Spatial dynamics of low-carbon transitions: Peer effects and disadvantaged communities in solar energy, electric vehicle, and heat pump adoption in the United States, Min, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.103981

The role of financial incentives in promoting electric light commercial vehicles in the United States, Guo et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114526

Translating global emission reduction goals into built environment policy instruments: an ambitious yet inadequate policy portfolio for Victoria, Australia, Hurlimann et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2025.2459319

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study, Kupfer et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005106

Climate change inequalities: A systematic review of disparities in access to mitigation and adaptation measures, Zahnow et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104021

Climate change, local leadership and the formal-informal nexus: case of Machar Colony, Karachi, Ahmed, Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2025.2463597

Increased risk for damages from the dry-rot fungus Serpula lacrymans on buildings in a changing climate, Martinsson & Danielski, Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100695

Soaring Building Collapses in Southern Mediterranean Coasts: Hydroclimatic Drivers & Adaptive Landscape Mitigations, Fouad et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004883

Climate change impacts on human health

Advancing adoptability and sustainability of digital prediction tools for climate-sensitive infectious disease prevention and control, Phung et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-025-56826-6

Diurnal Pattern of Heat Stress Over South Asia: A Wet Bulb Globe Temperature-Based Analysis From 1984 to 2023, Khan et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8797

Interactions of urban heat islands and heat waves in Swedish cities under present and future climates, Wang et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102286

Other

Estimating the carbon footprint of post-war reconstruction: toward a ‘greener’ recovery of Ukraine, Kobayakawa, Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access 10.1088/2634-4505/adb2bf

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

A call for resilience and advocacy in the Anthropocene: analyzing Earth Protectors as a tool for environmental action, Hasibuan, Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2025.2464166

Arctic food and energy security at the crossroads, Unc et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02122-6

Editorial: Carbon cycle vulnerability across coastal and forested wetlands in response to anthropogenic perturbations, Mitra, Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access 10.3389/ffgc.2025.1566370

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